UK Electoral Reform

A decade has passed since the UK electorate rejected proposed reforms to the way elections to the House of Commons are conducted.

The proposal from the Conservative – Liberal Democrat coalition government to introduce Alternative Voting was rejected in a referendum by more than two thirds of those who voted. The turnout was low: just 42 per cent.

Alternative Voting is not a form of Proportional Representation, although one of its variants shares some similarities with the STV system. Instead of placing an ‘X’ beside the name of a preferred candidate, voters are asked to rank them in order of preference.

In AV elections, the candidates with the fewest votes are successively eliminated and their votes redistributed until one achieves more than 50% of the votes cast. In STV PR elections, a similar process is followed, except that instead of having one member per constituency, each parliamentary constituency would have between five and seven members. Candidates are elected when the votes they amass through transfers reaches a pre-determined quota.

The main problems (for some) with the STV system is that it creates super-constituencies and that it can take several days to tabulate the results.

AV was proposed as a compromise because it kept the link with constituencies, although again it would have taken longer to add up the votes.

But what if there was a simple system were results were easily tabulated, was proportional and fairer, kept the strong bond with individual constituencies, and depended on voters expressing a single preference? That is, voting in the normal way with an ‘X’ and adding up the votes to see who wins.

The system used for European Elections in most of the UK when we were members of the European Union bears some resemblance to what I am proposing, but it is completely different.

The system I’d like to see is called Regionally Transferable Voting or RTV. It is so simple that any First Past the Post election can be quickly converted into RTV. It is essentially an Open List system where the electorate, not political parties, rank candidates.

In RTV, we keep single member constituencies but between five and seven constituencies will usually be grouped together into an Electoral Region, similar to the multi-member constituency used by STV.

The candidates of a political party in each region would be grouped together in a List. However, instead of the political party deciding their position on the List, the voters would do the ranking.

In RTV, the position on a List is determined by the proportion of a vote a candidate receives in the election in the constituency in which they stand for election.

Imagine there are five constituencies in an electoral region. The Carpetbaggers party stands in all five constituencies. The party’s share of the vote is as follows:

  • West City : 22%
  • Central City: 38%
  • East City: 27%
  • Northern Suburbs: 41%
  • Southern Suburbs: 39%

That would mean that in this election, the candidates on the Carpet Baggers List would be elected in this order: Northern Suburbs, Southern Suburbs, Central City, East City, and finally West City.

Seats would be allocated on a regional basis using a modified d’Hondt system. So this would mean instead of electing the person with the greatest number of votes in each constituency, we would elect those who obtained a quota, a bit like STV.

Have a look at these results from our Imaginary Electoral Region:

East City%
PartyCandidateVotes List Position
Grave Diggers PartyAmanda Blue29,98043.3421
LovelessGeorge Fox19,98328.8894
Panda Liberation Mason Bing13,89820.0924
IndependentKen Dodd53107.6773
Total Votes Cast69171
Central City
PartyCandidateVotes List Position
Grave Diggers PartyPhil Green25,45642.9142
LovelessSandra Mason20,19634.0462
Panda Liberation Hussein Ali12,32220.7723
IndependentKen Dodd13452.2674
Total Votes Cast59319
West City
PartyCandidateVotes List Position
Grave Diggers PartyJohn Brown23,75335.7563
LovelessMary Smith19,37629.1685
Panda Liberation Hussein Ali22,99134.6091
IndependentKen Dodd3100.4675
Total Votes Cast66430
Northern Suburbs
PartyCandidateVotes List Position
Grave Diggers PartyPhilomena Rich17,67327.3284
LovelessFred Poor20,89432.3093
Panda Liberation Hussein Ali1176218.1885
IndependentKen Dodd1434022.1741
Total Votes Cast64669
Southern Suburbs
PartyCandidateVotes List Position
Grave Diggers PartyDrew De’ Ath16,84326.0455
LovelessPhil  Jones28,32643.8021
Panda Liberation Mason Bing18,36128.3922
IndependentKen Dodd54218.3832
Total Votes Cast68951

You may notice that some candidates are standing in multiple constituencies. RTV allows this because of the way votes are tabulated.

In RTV, we have an initial quota, and what I call a final quota.

The initial quota is calculated by dividing the total number of votes cast by one more than number of seats the Electoral Region. Then we add an additional vote. That means we divide the total votes cast by six and then add 1. This turns out to be 54,758.

The initial quota is used to eliminate those whose vote share is so low they have no chance of winning a seat. This is called the allocation threshold and is set at half a quota. Immediately we see that the independent candidate, Ken Dodd, is eliminated from all constituencies because of he failed to meet the allocation threshold.

Total VotesPriority
Grave Diggers113,7051
Loveless108,7752
Panda Liberation793343
Independent267264
Votes Cast328540
Initial Quota54758
Allocation Threshold 27379
Valid Lists
Grave Diggers113,705
Loveless108,775
Panda Liberation79334
Total Valid Votes301814
Final Quota50303

We now have to recalculate our Final Quota. This is done in the same way as before but excluding the votes for lists below the allocation threshold. This works out at just over 50,303 votes:

The party with the most votes is the Grave Diggers. So they have first go at winning a seat. None of their candidates has come anywhere near obtaining a quota in any seat. In order to do votes must be transferred from elsewhere in the Electoral Region. In this case means they must sacrifice their chances of winning in the seat where they performed most poorly and transfer the vote to their best placed constituency .

That’s because their performance of each candidate in a particular constituency determines their place on their party’s list.

How we iterate a list depends on the following rules:

  • the party with the most valid votes gets to go first starting with its best performing seat.
  • surpluses are distributed first
  • spare votes come from eliminations of the candidate in its worst performing seat
  • these eliminated seats are distributed after surpluses
  • eliminations continue until the best performing candidate obtains a quota
  • if a candidate obtains a quota, the other candidates in the constituency are eliminated and their votes transferred to the best performing candidate in their list
  • an allocation round stops when no more seats can be allocated
  • when a round stops the number of active votes is recalculated

Let’s put these rules into practice.

That means transferring votes from the Grave Diggers worst performing seat in the Southern Suburbs to their best in East City. This still doesn’t give them enough votes so we transfer their votes from the Northern Suburbs to East City.

This gives them enough votes to get their first candidate elected with a surplus which is then transferred to their second best candidate. The other candidates in that constituency are also eliminated and their votes transferred out. This how that would that scenario would play resulting in the election of Amanda Blue:

First Round
East City
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer InTotal
Grave Diggers PartyAmanda Blue29,980
LovelessGeorge Fox19,983
Panda Liberation Mason Bing13,898
Central City
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer In Total
Grave Diggers PartyPhil Green25,456
LovelessSandra Mason20,196
Panda Liberation Hussein Ali12,322
West City
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer InTotal
Grave Diggers PartyJohn Brown23,753
LovelessMary Smith19,376
Panda Liberation Hussein Ali22,991
Northern Suburbs
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer InTotal
Grave Diggers PartyPhilomena Rich17,673
LovelessFred Poor20,894
Panda Liberation Hussein Ali11762
Southern Suburbs
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer InTotal
Grave Diggers PartyDrew De’ Ath16,843
LovelessPhil  Jones28,326
Panda Liberation Mason Bing18,361
Southern Suburbs
PartyCandidateVotes TransferTotal
Grave Diggers PartyDrew De’ AthELIMINATED + VOTES Transferred to East City168430
LovelessPhil  Jones28,32628326
Panda Liberation Mason Bing18,36118361
Southern Suburbs
PartyCandidateVotes TransferTotal
LovelessPhil  Jones28,326
Panda Liberation Mason Bing18,361
East CityTransfer from Southern Suburbs
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer InTotal
Grave Diggers PartyAmanda Blue29,9801684346823
LovelessGeorge Fox19,98319983
Panda Liberation Mason Bing13,89813898
Northern SuburbsElimination of Rich 
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer InTotal
Grave Diggers PartyPhilomena RichELiminated +17,673 votes to East  City 
LovelessFred Poor20,89420894
Panda Liberation Hussein Ali1176211762
Northern Suburbs
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer InTotal
LovelessFred Poor20,89420894
Panda Liberation Hussein Ali1176211762
East CityTransfer from Northern Suburbs
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer InTotal
Grave Diggers PartyAmanda Blue468231767364496
LovelessGeorge FoxELIMINATED 19,983 Transferred  to Southern Subs
Panda Liberation Mason BingELIMINATED 13,898 Transferred to WEST CITY
Bue has a surplus of 14193Transferred to Central City
Central CityTransfer from East City
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer In Total
Grave Diggers PartyPhil Green25,4561419339649
LovelessSandra Mason20,196
Panda Liberation Hussein Ali12,322
Southern SuburbsTransfer from East City
PartyCandidateVotes TransferTotal
LovelessPhil  Jones28,3261998348309
Panda Liberation Mason Bing18,361
Southern Suburbs
PartyCandidateVotes TransferTotal
LovelessPhil  Jones4830948309
Panda Liberation Mason Bing18,36118361
West CityTransfer from East City
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer InTotal
Grave Diggers PartyJohn Brown23,75323753
LovelessMary Smith19,37619376
Panda Liberation Hussein Ali22,9911389836889
West City
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer InTotal
Grave Diggers PartyJohn Brown23,75323753
LovelessMary Smith19,37619376
Panda Liberation Hussein Ali3688936889

At this stage, we need to calculate which party has the right to the next seat. We can do this by simply looking at the remaining unallocated votes.

Grave Diggers634023
Loveless1087751
Panda Liberation793342

That means it’s the turn of the Loveless Party to try to gain a seat, since they have the greatest number of unallocated votes. So let’s look at the remaining seats after we transfer votes after the election of the East City seat. I have ordered them in terms of their position on the Loveless party list:

Southern Suburbs
Central City
Northern Suburbs
East City
West City

We will ignore East City because the party’s candidate has been eliminated there. First let’s look at Southern Suburbs Seat. But rules above then run continuously like so:

Southern Suburbs
PartyCandidateVotes TransferTotal
LovelessPhil  Jones4830948309
Panda Liberation Mason Bing18,36118361
West City
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer InTotal
Grave Diggers PartyJohn Brown23,75323753
LovelessMary Smith19,37619376
Panda Liberation Hussein Ali3688936889
0
West CityEliminationof Smith
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer InTotal
Grave Diggers PartyJohn Brown23,75323753
LovelessMary SmithELIIMINATED  19376  votes  transferred to Southern Suburbs0
Panda Liberation Hussein Ali3688936889
West City
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer InTotal
Grave Diggers PartyJohn Brown23,75323753
Panda Liberation Hussein Ali3688936889
Southern SuburbsTransfer to Jones
PartyCandidateVotes TransferTotal
LovelessPhil  Jones ELECTED483091937667685
Panda Liberation Mason Bing ELIMINATED18,361 Votes  transferred  to  West City0
Jones Surpus of 17382Transferred to Central City
Central CityTransfer from Southern Subs
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer In Total
Grave Diggers PartyPhil Green39649039649
LovelessSandra Mason20,1961738237578
Panda Liberation Hussein Ali12,32212322
West City
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer InTotal
Grave Diggers PartyJohn Brown -Eliminated23,75323753
Panda Liberation Hussein  Ali Elected368891836155250
0
West City
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer InTotal
Grave Diggers PartyJohn Brown -Eliminated23,753 votes transferred to Central  City0
Panda Liberation Hussein  Ali Elected368891836155250
Hussein Ali Surplus of 4947Votes transferred to Central City
Central CityTransfer from West City
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer In Total
Grave Diggers PartyPhil Green Elected366492575362402
LovelessSandra Mason ELIM20,196 votes transferred to   N  suburbs0
Panda Liberation Hussein Ali ELIM12,322494717269
Surpluses to be transferred to Northern SuburbsGreen 12099*Not possible because candidate 
Mason20196
Ali17269
Northern Suburbs
PartyCandidateVotes Transfer InTotal
LovelessFred Poor Elected20,8942019641090
Panda Liberation Hussein Ali117621726929031

The final results for the electoral region would be something like this. For comparison I’ve put the RTV results alongside the FPTP results

ConstituencyFPTPRTV
East CityGDGD
Central CityGDGD
West CityGDPL
North SuburbsLovLov
South SuburbsLovLov